{"id":446807,"date":"2019-03-05T16:00:20","date_gmt":"2019-03-05T16:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.moldova.org\/en\/?p=446807"},"modified":"2019-03-06T12:07:02","modified_gmt":"2019-03-06T12:07:02","slug":"experts-opinions-possible-combinations-future-parliament","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.moldova.org\/en\/experts-opinions-possible-combinations-future-parliament\/","title":{"rendered":"The experts’ opinions: What are the possible \u2018combinations\u2019 in the future parliament?"},"content":{"rendered":"Reading Time: <\/span> 5<\/span> minutes<\/span><\/span>

The future Parliament of the Republic of Moldova could be divided between several political parties: The Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (PSRM), the Democratic Party of Moldova (DPM), the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), the Dignity and Truth Platform Party (DTPP) \u2013 that form the electoral bloc ACUM, and the \u201c\u0218or\u201d Party. No party has the majority; therefore, a political coalition needs to be formed for voting the future Government. That is where the public, media and the political analysts started to speculate on possible options.<\/p>\n

The DPM-PSRM coalition<\/h3>\n

Igor Bo<\/strong>\u021ban<\/strong>, the Executive Director of the Association for Participatory Democracy ADEPT, believes that the most probable and realistic option is a DPM-PSRM coalition, as both the DPM and the PSRM have adopted a “pro-Moldova” attitude and already have experience with forming an alliance. \u201cRegarding the Moldova\u2019s foreign relations, Vlad Plahotniuc and Igor Dodon plead for the idea that Moldova should become a sort of bridge between East and West,\u201d as Bo\u021ban states<\/a> for REL\/RL. Bo\u021ban considers that the DPM and the PSRM have always had common interests.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhen addressing the bloc ACUM for negotiations, the Democratic Party actually makes a proposal to the Party of Socialists.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The only impediment in a smooth process of negotiations between the DPM and the PSRM would be an eventual disagreement with Russia, which is interested in maintaining the current political situation in Transnistria, in controlling the Moldova\u2019s exports and imports volumes to the EU and keeping its dominance over Moldova through the Orthodox church and Russian media influence, according to Igor Bo\u021ban.<\/p>\n

The DPM-ACUM coalition<\/h3>\n

The decision taken by the electoral bloc ACUM to not create any coalitions with any party that passed the threshold of the people\u2019s vote for entering in the parliament has been heavily criticized, especially by the political experts whose position is favourable to the DPM. Therefore, the political pundit Corneliu Ciurea<\/strong>, declared for PublikaTV – a channel controlled by the Democratic Party that \u201cthe bloc ACUM does not want to sit at the negotiating table.\u201d He believes that without a support from the Western partners that would encourage those from the bloc ACUM to have a dialogue, they won\u2019t be willing to negotiate with the Democratic Party, as IPN reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

On March 1st<\/sup>, the DPM deputy chairman Vlad Cebotari announced during a press conference that the Democratic Party sent letters to the DTPP and the PAS inviting them to negotiate a parliamentary majority, so as to ensure effective government of the Republic of Moldova, in line with people’s expectations, as the DPM press release<\/a> states.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, Andrei N\u0103stase, one of the leaders of the bloc ACUM, declared<\/a> for ProTV that the DPM is trying to imitate the process of forming an alliance. \u201cFrom that letter, I deduced the hurry in which the Democrats try to mimic the process of forming an alliance. The bloc ACUM will never form an alliance with the thieves, the ruling mafia, those who degraded the country and its people. One of our main commitments was to not form an alliance with the party of Plahotniuc (the DPM), the party of Dodon (the PSRM), the party of \u0218or or the party of Usat\u00eei \u2013 all the oligarchic and anti-European parties\u201d, stated N\u0103stase.<\/p>\n

The PSRM-ACUM coalition<\/h3>\n

Discussing a possible temporary coalition between the bloc ACUM and the PSRM is an idea promoted by some analysts as the most relevant possibility of the majority creation in the Parliament.<\/p>\n

In the opinion of Alexei Tulbure<\/strong>, a political commentator from Moldova, a temporary coalition could be created, based on the fact that more than 60 mandates were obtained by the parties that, at least formally, declared themselves against the current system. \u201cI understand that it is impossible to have a long-term, stable coalition between the PSRM and ACUM, because the priorities are very different, but it is a possibility for a \u2018stalemate\u2019 against the DPM in an attempt to free the state institutions from Plahotniuc’s people,\u201d said<\/a> Tulbure for JurnalTV.<\/p>\n

In the same time, Igor Bo<\/strong>\u021ban<\/strong> declared that \u201cif there is no trust between the partners, even if the partners have different visions, no provisional coalitions are possible. The part who swallows the bait will suffer afterwards.\u201d<\/p>\n

Such a combination would mean a \u2018political suicide\u2019 for ACUM, according to the publicist Vitalie Ciobanu<\/strong>. \u201cThe socialists are just as rotten and corruptible as the democrats. In addition, the PSRM is a Kremlin’s \u2018remote control\u2019,\u201d said Ciobanu. \u00a0He asks himself how an alliance of the bloc ACUM with those who want the federalization of the Republic of Moldova would look like. \u201cTo make all these sacrifices for the sake of an alliance that would break at the first turn \u2013 ACUM would be a political loser and a traitor in the eyes of the people who set their hopes on them,\u201d commented<\/a> Ciobanu.<\/p>\n

Calling snap elections or other \u2018creative\u2019 alternatives<\/h3>\n

In the same time, the political analysts admit the possibility that the DPM would \u2018convince\u2019 some politicians from other parties to adhere to the DPM, just like it happened in the previous parliament.<\/p>\n

According to the political analyst Dionis Cenu<\/strong>\u0219\u0103<\/strong>, the Bloc ACUM needs to decide, whether to influence the governance process or to hold the opposition role in the parliament. \u201cThe difficulty of such a decision depends equally on the success of the Democrats’ ultimate establishment of a coalition with the \u201c\u0218or\u201d Party, the three independent candidates, and necessarily at least 11 representatives of the Socialists (PSRM). If the slightest risk of such a scenario persists, then the Bloc ACUM needs to prepare for early elections or for the forced prolongation of the current government,\u201d stated<\/a> Cenu\u0219\u0103 for IPN.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Recently. all 35 members of the PSRM, elected in the national and single-seat constituencies, presented a statement<\/a> obliging them to work\u00a0 within a single faction in the future legislature.
\nThe PSRM president, Zinaida Grecean\u00eei, declared that at the moment the party does not negotiate any alliances, and the allegations regarding the possible coalitions between the PSRM and other parties are just speculations.<\/p>\n

Another possible scenario seems to be prepared by the DPM, as the party member Sergiu S\u00eerbu filed a petition to the Constitutional Court on February 28th<\/sup>, demanding the transfer of the Parliament’s powers to the Government in case of blocked parliamentary activity. In other words, S\u00eerbu asked for the settlement of an interim period for the Government in office, where it could issue normative acts, including in the area of \u200b\u200bregulating laws to ensure the continuity of power.<\/p>\n

The best conclusion for this article can be made using the declarations<\/a> of the Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (LDPM) former president \u2013 Viorel Cibotaru<\/strong>: \u201cThere are no suitable options, miracle solutions. We expect a long and hard positional war, close fights in the parliament and other public institutions.\u201d Cibotaru thinks that people must organize strikes, protests, demonstrations, any kind of national resistance, if necessary, to establish the values they share. In the same time, he advises the public to not put pressure on the newly entered in the parliament parties.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cLet our new politicians invent something new, amaze us with something else. Do not bother them and teach them what to do. Let them manage it by themselves. We will help them not slip into the labyrinth of power … “,<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Photo: sputnik.md<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Reading Time: <\/span> 5<\/span> minutes<\/span><\/span>The future Parliament of the Republic of Moldova could be divided between several political parties: The Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (PSRM), the Democratic Party of Moldova (DPM), the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), the Dignity and Truth Platform Party (DTPP) \u2013 that form the electoral bloc ACUM, and the \u201c\u0218or\u201d […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":446808,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,3,56],"tags":[90,35,27,247,233],"class_list":["post-446807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","category-politics","category-reportaje","tag-experts","tag-important","tag-moldova","tag-opinions","tag-parliament"],"content_social_share":"Reading Time: <\/span> 5<\/span> minutes<\/span><\/span>

The future Parliament of the Republic of Moldova could be divided between several political parties: The Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (PSRM), the Democratic Party of Moldova (DPM), the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), the Dignity and Truth Platform Party (DTPP) \u2013 that form the electoral bloc ACUM, and the \u201c\u0218or\u201d Party. No party has the majority; therefore, a political coalition needs to be formed for voting the future Government. That is where the public, media and the political analysts started to speculate on possible options.<\/p>\n

The DPM-PSRM coalition<\/h3>\n

Igor Bo<\/strong>\u021ban<\/strong>, the Executive Director of the Association for Participatory Democracy ADEPT, believes that the most probable and realistic option is a DPM-PSRM coalition, as both the DPM and the PSRM have adopted a “pro-Moldova” attitude and already have experience with forming an alliance. \u201cRegarding the Moldova\u2019s foreign relations, Vlad Plahotniuc and Igor Dodon plead for the idea that Moldova should become a sort of bridge between East and West,\u201d as Bo\u021ban states<\/a> for REL\/RL. Bo\u021ban considers that the DPM and the PSRM have always had common interests.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhen addressing the bloc ACUM for negotiations, the Democratic Party actually makes a proposal to the Party of Socialists.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The only impediment in a smooth process of negotiations between the DPM and the PSRM would be an eventual disagreement with Russia, which is interested in maintaining the current political situation in Transnistria, in controlling the Moldova\u2019s exports and imports volumes to the EU and keeping its dominance over Moldova through the Orthodox church and Russian media influence, according to Igor Bo\u021ban.<\/p>\n

The DPM-ACUM coalition<\/h3>\n

The decision taken by the electoral bloc ACUM to not create any coalitions with any party that passed the threshold of the people\u2019s vote for entering in the parliament has been heavily criticized, especially by the political experts whose position is favourable to the DPM. Therefore, the political pundit Corneliu Ciurea<\/strong>, declared for PublikaTV – a channel controlled by the Democratic Party that \u201cthe bloc ACUM does not want to sit at the negotiating table.\u201d He believes that without a support from the Western partners that would encourage those from the bloc ACUM to have a dialogue, they won\u2019t be willing to negotiate with the Democratic Party, as IPN reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

On March 1st<\/sup>, the DPM deputy chairman Vlad Cebotari announced during a press conference that the Democratic Party sent letters to the DTPP and the PAS inviting them to negotiate a parliamentary majority, so as to ensure effective government of the Republic of Moldova, in line with people’s expectations, as the DPM press release<\/a> states.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, Andrei N\u0103stase, one of the leaders of the bloc ACUM, declared<\/a> for ProTV that the DPM is trying to imitate the process of forming an alliance. \u201cFrom that letter, I deduced the hurry in which the Democrats try to mimic the process of forming an alliance. The bloc ACUM will never form an alliance with the thieves, the ruling mafia, those who degraded the country and its people. One of our main commitments was to not form an alliance with the party of Plahotniuc (the DPM), the party of Dodon (the PSRM), the party of \u0218or or the party of Usat\u00eei \u2013 all the oligarchic and anti-European parties\u201d, stated N\u0103stase.<\/p>\n

The PSRM-ACUM coalition<\/h3>\n

Discussing a possible temporary coalition between the bloc ACUM and the PSRM is an idea promoted by some analysts as the most relevant possibility of the majority creation in the Parliament.<\/p>\n

In the opinion of Alexei Tulbure<\/strong>, a political commentator from Moldova, a temporary coalition could be created, based on the fact that more than 60 mandates were obtained by the parties that, at least formally, declared themselves against the current system. \u201cI understand that it is impossible to have a long-term, stable coalition between the PSRM and ACUM, because the priorities are very different, but it is a possibility for a \u2018stalemate\u2019 against the DPM in an attempt to free the state institutions from Plahotniuc’s people,\u201d said<\/a> Tulbure for JurnalTV.<\/p>\n

In the same time, Igor Bo<\/strong>\u021ban<\/strong> declared that \u201cif there is no trust between the partners, even if the partners have different visions, no provisional coalitions are possible. The part who swallows the bait will suffer afterwards.\u201d<\/p>\n

Such a combination would mean a \u2018political suicide\u2019 for ACUM, according to the publicist Vitalie Ciobanu<\/strong>. \u201cThe socialists are just as rotten and corruptible as the democrats. In addition, the PSRM is a Kremlin’s \u2018remote control\u2019,\u201d said Ciobanu. \u00a0He asks himself how an alliance of the bloc ACUM with those who want the federalization of the Republic of Moldova would look like. \u201cTo make all these sacrifices for the sake of an alliance that would break at the first turn \u2013 ACUM would be a political loser and a traitor in the eyes of the people who set their hopes on them,\u201d commented<\/a> Ciobanu.<\/p>\n

Calling snap elections or other \u2018creative\u2019 alternatives<\/h3>\n

In the same time, the political analysts admit the possibility that the DPM would \u2018convince\u2019 some politicians from other parties to adhere to the DPM, just like it happened in the previous parliament.<\/p>\n

According to the political analyst Dionis Cenu<\/strong>\u0219\u0103<\/strong>, the Bloc ACUM needs to decide, whether to influence the governance process or to hold the opposition role in the parliament. \u201cThe difficulty of such a decision depends equally on the success of the Democrats’ ultimate establishment of a coalition with the \u201c\u0218or\u201d Party, the three independent candidates, and necessarily at least 11 representatives of the Socialists (PSRM). If the slightest risk of such a scenario persists, then the Bloc ACUM needs to prepare for early elections or for the forced prolongation of the current government,\u201d stated<\/a> Cenu\u0219\u0103 for IPN.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Recently. all 35 members of the PSRM, elected in the national and single-seat constituencies, presented a statement<\/a> obliging them to work\u00a0 within a single faction in the future legislature.
\nThe PSRM president, Zinaida Grecean\u00eei, declared that at the moment the party does not negotiate any alliances, and the allegations regarding the possible coalitions between the PSRM and other parties are just speculations.<\/p>\n

Another possible scenario seems to be prepared by the DPM, as the party member Sergiu S\u00eerbu filed a petition to the Constitutional Court on February 28th<\/sup>, demanding the transfer of the Parliament’s powers to the Government in case of blocked parliamentary activity. In other words, S\u00eerbu asked for the settlement of an interim period for the Government in office, where it could issue normative acts, including in the area of \u200b\u200bregulating laws to ensure the continuity of power.<\/p>\n

The best conclusion for this article can be made using the declarations<\/a> of the Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (LDPM) former president \u2013 Viorel Cibotaru<\/strong>: \u201cThere are no suitable options, miracle solutions. We expect a long and hard positional war, close fights in the parliament and other public institutions.\u201d Cibotaru thinks that people must organize strikes, protests, demonstrations, any kind of national resistance, if necessary, to establish the values they share. In the same time, he advises the public to not put pressure on the newly entered in the parliament parties.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cLet our new politicians invent something new, amaze us with something else. Do not bother them and teach them what to do. Let them manage it by themselves. We will help them not slip into the labyrinth of power … “,<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Photo: sputnik.md<\/p>\n

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