{"id":413123,"date":"2015-02-24T22:01:15","date_gmt":"2015-02-24T20:01:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.moldova.org\/?p=413123"},"modified":"2015-02-24T22:01:15","modified_gmt":"2015-02-24T20:01:15","slug":"business-insider-transnistria-is-more-dangerous-for-ukraine-than-to-moldova","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.moldova.org\/en\/business-insider-transnistria-is-more-dangerous-for-ukraine-than-to-moldova\/","title":{"rendered":"Business Insider: Transnistria is more dangerous for Ukraine than for Moldova"},"content":{"rendered":"Reading Time: <\/span> < 1<\/span> minute<\/span><\/span>

An report<\/a>\u00a0done by Brandee Leon for Business Insider presents the possible threat to Ukraine coming from the break-away region of Moldova.<\/p>\n

“The bigger threat may be not to Moldova but to neighboring Ukraine. Having Russian military on Ukraine\u2019s western border makes for an easy start of a western front in the countries’ conflict, especially if they’re aided by local sympathizers. Given the current situation in Ukraine and the state of the Russian economy, the likelihood of this is small even if it isn’t completely out of the question.<\/p>\n

If the war in Ukraine were to escalate further, the Army\u2019s location makes it so Russia could launch a western offensive toward Odessa, a prized port on the Black Sea and current home of the Ukrainian navy. Odessa in one of the keys to the idea of Novorossyia\u00a0(New Russia), an entity that the Russian government has mentioned on occasion since the annexation of Crimea.<\/p>\n

So it may not be that Transnistria itself matters, but rather what the territory represents: Russia\u2019s influence in Europe, specifically the former Eastern Bloc countries.<\/p>\n

Moldova also recently signed an association agreement with EU.\u00a0Russia responded by stopping exports from Moldova. Nearly half of Moldova\u2019s exports go to the EU, while about a quarter go to Russia.<\/p>\n

So far, Russia is focusing all their efforts on eastern Ukraine. But as they make more territorial gains there they could become emboldened to try for the west of the country. That could very well mean stirring up the population of Transnistria and making the conflict hot once more. “<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Reading Time: <\/span> < 1<\/span> minute<\/span><\/span>An report\u00a0done by Brandee Leon for Business Insider presents the possible threat to Ukraine coming from the break-away region of Moldova. “The bigger threat may be not to Moldova but to neighboring Ukraine. Having Russian military on Ukraine\u2019s western border makes for an easy start of a western front in the countries’ conflict, especially if […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":387761,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-413123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-miscellaneous"],"content_social_share":"Reading Time: <\/span> < 1<\/span> minute<\/span><\/span>

An report<\/a>\u00a0done by Brandee Leon for Business Insider presents the possible threat to Ukraine coming from the break-away region of Moldova.<\/p>\n

“The bigger threat may be not to Moldova but to neighboring Ukraine. Having Russian military on Ukraine\u2019s western border makes for an easy start of a western front in the countries’ conflict, especially if they’re aided by local sympathizers. Given the current situation in Ukraine and the state of the Russian economy, the likelihood of this is small even if it isn’t completely out of the question.<\/p>\n

If the war in Ukraine were to escalate further, the Army\u2019s location makes it so Russia could launch a western offensive toward Odessa, a prized port on the Black Sea and current home of the Ukrainian navy. Odessa in one of the keys to the idea of Novorossyia\u00a0(New Russia), an entity that the Russian government has mentioned on occasion since the annexation of Crimea.<\/p>\n

So it may not be that Transnistria itself matters, but rather what the territory represents: Russia\u2019s influence in Europe, specifically the former Eastern Bloc countries.<\/p>\n

Moldova also recently signed an association agreement with EU.\u00a0Russia responded by stopping exports from Moldova. Nearly half of Moldova\u2019s exports go to the EU, while about a quarter go to Russia.<\/p>\n

So far, Russia is focusing all their efforts on eastern Ukraine. But as they make more territorial gains there they could become emboldened to try for the west of the country. That could very well mean stirring up the population of Transnistria and making the conflict hot once more. “<\/p>\n

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